Seminar "Expert opinion and data analysis"

On Wednesday, April 27, the National Research University Higher School of Economics hosted a seminar "Expert opinion and data analysis".

Theme: Fighting strains of Covid-19 in Moscow
Speaker: Sokolov A. (IPPI RAS, GEOKHI RAS)

Annotation:
The balanced identification technology is used to model the dynamics of the incidence of Covid-19. The balanced identification method is based on the principles of regularization and estimation of the modeling error by cross-validation. A number of models are considered, including models of strain competition. The forecast of morbidity in Moscow is given. The resulting models are numerically investigated.