Programme
First day 31.10.2013 | |||
Place: HSE, Main building (Myasnitskaya, 20), room 311 | |||
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Registration (Main building, 3d floor lobby) |
8.30-9.00 | |
Opening session | |||
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Officials from the HSE |
Welcome speeches |
9.00-9.05 |
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Andreas Edel (Population Europe) |
9.05-9.15 | |
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Anatoly Vishnevsky (Institute of Demography) |
9.15-9.20 | |
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Session 1. The phenomenon of low fertility |
9.20-11.20 [1] | |
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Chairmen: Z. Pavlik (Czech Republic), S. Zakharov (Russia) |
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1 |
Anatoly Vishnevsky (Russia) |
Low fertility as a global imperative |
9.20-9.50 |
2 |
Massimo Livi Bacci (Italy) |
Low fertility: a view from history |
9.50-10.20 |
3 |
Barbara Anderson (USA) |
Projecting low fertility: some thoughts about the plausibility and implications of assumptions |
10.20-10.50 |
4 |
Tomas Sobotka (Austria) |
Migration, fertility and population replacement in the developed world |
10.50-11.20 |
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Coffee break |
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11.20-11.35 |
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Session 2. Perspectives of low fertility |
11.35-13.35 | |
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Chairmen: M. Livi Bacci (Italy), V. Shkolnikov (Germany) |
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5 |
Laurent Toulemon (France) |
Total fertility rate, birth rate, and future population trends in Europe |
11.35-12.05 |
6 |
Sergey Zakharov (Russia) |
Lowest low fertility in Russia: Reality or problems of measurement? |
12.05-12.35 |
7 |
Sunnee Billingsley (Sweden) |
Fertility differentials across post-socialist countries |
12.35-13.05 |
8 |
Sergey Ivanov (Russia) |
Contemporary types of population reproduction: perceptions, rhetorics, policies, coordination. |
13.05-13.35 |
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Lunch |
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13.35-14.5 |
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Session 3. Demographic policy and fertility |
14.15-16.15 | |
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Chairmen: B. Anderson (USA), S. Ivanov(Russia) |
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9 |
Gerda Neyer (Sweden) |
Family policies and their impact on fertility |
14.15-14.45 |
10 |
Irina Kurylo (Ukraine) |
Determinants of reproductive activity: Ukraine against the European background |
13.05-13.35 |
11 |
Olga Isupova (Russia) |
IVF: Patterns of advantage, or next demographic transition? |
15.15-15.45 |
12 |
Mark Tolts (Israel) |
Some lessons for demographic policy that can be learned from fertility and mortality changes among ex-Soviet migrants in Israel |
15.45-16.15 |
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Coffee break |
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16.15-16.25 |
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Round table, Panel 1 [2]. |
Demographic policy and fertility in the Post-Soviet space Chairmen: G. Neyer (Sweden), V. Elizarov (Russia) Panelists: Zdenek Pavlik (Czech Republic), Viktoria Sakevich (Russia), |
16.25-18.00 |
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Anniversary Session |
18.00-19.00 | |
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Anniversary Dinner (Reception). Main building (Myasnitskaya, 20) |
19.00-21.00 | |
Second day 01.11.2013 | |||
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Session 4. Low mortality phenomenon |
9.00-11.00 | |
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Chairmen: G. Wunsch (Belgium), E. Andreev (Russia) |
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1 |
Jacques Vallin (France) |
Are there any limits of human longevity? |
9.00-9.30 |
2 |
Jon Anson (Israel) |
Long term trends in adult mortality decline: Two mortality transitions? |
9.30-10.00 |
3 |
Vladimir Shkolnikov (Germany) |
Measures of inter-individual disparity in mortality and fertility |
10.00-10.30 |
4 |
Olga Penina (Moldova), |
Is mortality low in Moldova? |
10.30-.1100 |
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Coffee break |
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11.00-11.15 |
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Session 5. Divergence-convergence process: family and fertility |
11.15-13.15 | |
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Chairmen: L. Toulemon (France), A. Vishnevsky (Russia) |
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5 |
France Meslé (France), |
The sequence of the divergence-convergence process. A contribution to health transition theory. |
11.15-11.45 |
6 |
Mikhail Klupt (Russia) |
Low fertility: diversity under the mask of unity |
11.45-12.15 |
7 |
Brienna Perelli-Harris (UK) |
Universal or unique? Understanding diversity in family behaviour in Europe and the US. |
12.15-12.45 |
8 |
Alain Blum (France) |
East and West – convergency or conservation of demographic heterogenity in family formation |
12.45-13.15 |
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Lunch |
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13.15-14.00 |
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Round table, Panel 2. |
Low fertility and low mortality Chairmen: A. Blum(France), M. Klupt(Russia) Panelists: Liudmila Shakhotska (Byelorussia), Katherine Keenan (UK), |
14.00-16.00 |
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Coffee break |
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16.00–16.10 |
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Session 6. Information collection and processing |
16.10-18.10 | |
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Chairmen:F. Meslé (France), M. Tolts (Israel) |
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9 |
Guillaume Wunsch (Belgium), |
Low morbidity and mortality: what implications for data collection? |
16.10-16.40 |
10 |
Sergey Scherbov (Austria) |
Remeasuring 21st century population ageing |
14.45-15.15 |
11 |
Dmitri Jdanov (Germany), Aiva Jasilioniene (Germany) |
Human Mortality and Human Fertility Databases - databases of a new type for demography |
17.10-17.40 |
12 |
Domantas Jasilionis (Lithuania/Germany), |
Lithuanian census-linked data and their use in research on death, fertility and family events |
17.40-18.10 |
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Final speeches |
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Farewell cocktail Institute of Demography (Myasnitskaya, 40 bld.1) |
19.00-20.30 |
[1] For a session presentation it is supposed that 15-20 minutes will be used for the presentation proper and 10-15 minutes for questions and discussion.
[2] For a Round table panel intervention please limit yourself to 10 minutes.