About

Short description:Current data and results of recent surveys show the strong evidence proving the changes in reproductive and marital behavior among Russian people. It means that Russia despite of a certain time lag joined the track of the marital and childbearing age increase. Nowadays younger male and female generations show the greater diversity of marital and reproductive behavior, the intervals between the important life-course events (both social and economic like graduation, labour market securing and demographic like partnership, marriage, first and following child-bearing) are expanding; even the consequence of events is changing.  Nevertheless, both tracks and depth of the following changes as well as their determinants were still not investigated properly, mainly due to the lack of empirical data.

In this research the authors plan to use micro data of the large surveys, including panel ones. The panel surveys will help to investigate the dynamics in the social and demographic behavior we are interested in within the period of last 7 – 18 years cleansed from the effects of changing structure. The relatively large volume of the samples in all surveys allows us to use the modern statistical and econometric approach. The research group consists of the demographers, sociologists, economists, so that within the project realization the multidisciplinary approach to the fertility and family analysis approach will be used. This ‘commonwealth’ of researchers from different fields will allow the group to test various, sometimes competitive theoretical explanations of demographic transitions.

Project goal: to find out the main trends in the family formation and disruption processes, and fertility in Russia; to estimate their scope and to shed light upon the determinants of transitions on the grounds of the surveys.   ‘

Project tasks:

1. To compare the 3 samples structure, the assessment of the bias in samples and their research potential from the analytical tasks point of view.
2. To exposure of the recent trends and conditions of changes in the households structure and composition in Russia
3. To investigate intergenerational dynamics of start of demographic events, for example leaving parental home, the first marriage or partnership and the first child-bearing
4. To investigate determinants of marriage or partnership disruption for women with children, and the process of further contacts between fathers and children
5. To show up the factors and conditions of the values changes and the intentions of persons about family, marriage and child-bearing
6. To exposure of fertility determinants within the period 2004-2011 based on the panel survey GGS, including the assessment of the current demographic policy on the probability of the second child birth and the length of the first interval between births.

 Data.For the research microdata from the following surveys will be used:

1.  Generation and Gender Survey including 3 waves 2004, 2007, 2011 (sample higher than 11 thousand per wave). The survey includes a panel and cross-sectional parts; the each of these waves is representative for Russia.
2. Russian longitudinal monitoring survey of HSE 1995-2012 (about 10 thousand respondents and 4 thousand households per wave). This survey also represents the country population as a whole and includes a panel part.
3. Survey of population reproductive plans (Rosstat, 2012). It includes about 10 thousand respondents and represents female population at reproductive age and male population at the age of 18-60. Micro data is in free access  http://www.gks.ru/free_doc/new_site/RPN/Publisher/index.html .