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Development of an Algorithm for Forecasting Bitcoin Cryptocurrency Taking into Account Social Trends

Student: Mariya Bronskaya

Supervisor: Ilya Timokhin

Faculty: HSE Tikhonov Moscow Institute of Electronics and Mathematics (MIEM HSE)

Educational Programme: Applied Mathematics (Bachelor)

Year of Graduation: 2024

The escalating prominence of the bitcoin cryptocurrency has captivated the attention of both investors and academics. Nevertheless, the inherent volatility of bitcoin trading represents a significant risk factor. Consequently, financial participants are compelled to mitigate potential trading losses, resulting in an augmented necessity for bitcoin price prediction. Moreover, public sentiment plays a pivotal role in influencing the valuation dynamics of bitcoin, thereby shaping its market forces. To harness this phenomenon, sophisticated machine learning techniques are employed for comprehensive data analysis, incorporating inputs from diverse sources, notably social media platforms. The research presented herein delineates a novel methodology that entails sentiment analysis of Twitter posts as an integral component of predictive modeling strategies.

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