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Reactions of Russian Stock Market to Dividend Announcements during Economic Growth

Student: Egor Ilin

Supervisor: Varvara Nazarova

Faculty: St.Petersburg School of Economics and Management

Educational Programme: Finance (Master)

Year of Graduation: 2024

This comprehensive study explores the dynamics of the Russian stock market in response to dividend announcements across different economic cycles. Utilizing empirical evidence and drawing on signal theory and prospect theory, the analysis uncovers nuanced market behaviors. Contrary to conventional wisdom, the impact of dividend announcements during economic downturns is more pronounced, signaling company resilience and attracting heightened investor interest. Conversely, in periods of economic growth, market reactions to dividends are more subdued, reflecting broader market trends. Integration of diverse data sources and robust methodologies enhances contextual analysis, providing valuable insights for stakeholders navigating the complexities of the Russian stock market. Practical implications highlight the significance of incorporating dividend announcements into investment strategies and leveraging them as critical indicators of financial health and growth prospects. By recognizing dividends as strategic signals, traders and companies can navigate market fluctuations with confidence, ultimately increasing long-term success.

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