• A
  • A
  • A
  • ABC
  • ABC
  • ABC
  • А
  • А
  • А
  • А
  • А
Regular version of the site

Analysis and Management of Risks in Securitization

Student: Vladimir Maltsev

Supervisor: Natalia Kogutovskaya

Faculty: International College of Economics and Finance

Educational Programme: International Programme in Economics and Finance (Bachelor)

Final Grade: 8

Year of Graduation: 2024

This study employs a comprehensive set of empirical techniques and statistical methods to analyze credit risk within securitization. Detailed information on the dataset components provides insights into loans granted over a specified period and region. Key methods used include the Chi-Squared Test for Independence to determine associations between categorical variables and credit risk, the Variance Inflation Factor (VIF) to detect multicollinearity in regression models, and the Gini Coefficient to measure the discriminatory power of credit scoring models. Additionally, Support Vector Machines (SVM) and Logistic Regression are used for classification and probability modeling, respectively, while a Cross-Validation Approach ensures the robustness and accuracy of predictive models. These methods are detailed in sections discussing binary classifiers and the Population Stability Index (PSI), underscoring the empirical significance of credit risk and its impact on securitization. The primary objective of this research is to understand and quantify the impact of credit risk on securitized assets. By utilizing empirical data and robust statistical techniques, this study aims to identify key determinants of credit risk in securitization and evaluate effective risk management practices. The study's relevance is heightened by the evolving financial landscape and the complexity of securitization products, coupled with advancements in AI and machine learning. The expected results will highlight significant determinants affecting the credit risk of securitized loans, emphasizing the importance of robust risk assessment methodologies and regulatory frameworks. Ultimately, this research aims to contribute valuable insights into the management of credit risks, supporting the stability and efficiency of the securitization market.

Full text (added June 10, 2024)

Student Theses at HSE must be completed in accordance with the University Rules and regulations specified by each educational programme.

Summaries of all theses must be published and made freely available on the HSE website.

The full text of a thesis can be published in open access on the HSE website only if the authoring student (copyright holder) agrees, or, if the thesis was written by a team of students, if all the co-authors (copyright holders) agree. After a thesis is published on the HSE website, it obtains the status of an online publication.

Student theses are objects of copyright and their use is subject to limitations in accordance with the Russian Federation’s law on intellectual property.

In the event that a thesis is quoted or otherwise used, reference to the author’s name and the source of quotation is required.

Search all student theses