Master
2021/2022
Foresight
Type:
Compulsory course (Governance of Science, Technology and Innovation)
Area of studies:
Management
Delivered by:
Department of Educational Programmes
When:
1 year, 4 module
Mode of studies:
offline
Open to:
students of one campus
Master’s programme:
Governance of Science, Technology and Innovation
Language:
English
ECTS credits:
6
Contact hours:
64
Course Syllabus
Abstract
Foresight is the Art and Science of anticipating and shaping the future. It is the first and key step of innovation in a fast changing world. A number of international organizations, national and regional governments as well as leading corporations have used Foresight to monitor trends, uncertainties, weak signals and wild cards; explore alternative futures under complexity and uncertainty; build future visions; identify key scientific and technological areas; develop new products and services; and recommend policies and strategies. This course aims to theoretical background as well as quantitative and qualitative methods like horizon scanning, big data analysis, scenario planning, prioritization, Delphi surveys, strategic and technological roadmaps among the others. The course will involve practical and hands on sessions to allow students to gain practical experience by ‘learning by doing’. The course was renewed in the framework of a grant funded by the Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Russian Federation (grant ID: 075-15-2020-928): "Foresight: the basics of using open big data analysis to identify global trends and challenges related to human development"module
Learning Objectives
- This course aims to provide an overview of Foresight and Strategic Planning. The course introduces several key approaches used both in Foresight and Strategic Planning in a complementary stance, including methods for scanning environments, identifying trends and drivers of change with weak signals and wild cards, developing future scenarios and visions and making long, medium and short term strategic plans for identifying priorities and actions. During the course, innovative ways of decision-making and STI policy formulation; STI strategy- and priority-setting; and cooperation and networking with stakeholders will be introduced. Through seminars, students will also be provided with practical experience in designing Foresight and Strategic Planning processes for public and private organizations.
Expected Learning Outcomes
- Ability to build necessary theory, argumentation and practice of using Foresight and Strategic planning at the national, regional and corporate levels
- Ability to use quantitative and qualitative approaches, processes and methods in a practical case study
Course Contents
- 1. Introduction to the course
- 2. Background, rationales, and key concepts for Foresight
- 3. Initiating Foresight: Objectives and Processes of Foresight
- 4. Foresight Methodology: Quantitative and Qualitative methods for Foresight
- 5. Scanning: Gathering Intelligence for emerging trends, technologies and markets
- 6. Scenarios and Alternative Futures: Planning alternative futures and scenarios
- 7. Formulating visions and priorities: Priority setting and strategy development
- 8. Generating outputs and outcomes from Foresight
- 9. Linking Foresight and Strategic Planning to Policies and Actions
Assessment Elements
- Final examThe exam is planned online on ZOOM Platform, held with ONLINE PROCTORING technologies: Examus Platform (https://hse.student.examus.net). A Student should log in 20 minutes prior to Exam Session. Examus system can be tested in advance. Computer should meet the technical requirements: https://elearning.hse.ru/data/2020/05/07/1544135594/Технические%20требования%20к%20ПК%20студента.pdf) Before the Examination: a student should log into the Examus System, test the system, switch on the cam and the micro, identify oneself by the passport (!). During the examination a student is not allowed to use any other internet-resources, communicate to the others. Temporary internet breakdown is for up to 10 min. If longer - a written request to the course director, cc study office manager for further decision to reschedule the Exam for another date for examination: with different exam questions.
- Presentation
- Home Assignment
- Final examThe exam is planned online on ZOOM Platform, held with ONLINE PROCTORING technologies: Examus Platform (https://hse.student.examus.net). A Student should log in 20 minutes prior to Exam Session. Examus system can be tested in advance. Computer should meet the technical requirements: https://elearning.hse.ru/data/2020/05/07/1544135594/Технические%20требования%20к%20ПК%20студента.pdf) Before the Examination: a student should log into the Examus System, test the system, switch on the cam and the micro, identify oneself by the passport (!). During the examination a student is not allowed to use any other internet-resources, communicate to the others. Temporary internet breakdown is for up to 10 min. If longer - a written request to the course director, cc study office manager for further decision to reschedule the Exam for another date for examination: with different exam questions.
- Presentation
- Home Assignment
Bibliography
Recommended Core Bibliography
- Loveridge, D. (2009). Foresight : The Art and Science of Anticipating the Future. New York: Routledge. Retrieved from http://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&site=eds-live&db=edsebk&AN=234423
- Miles, I., Saritas, O., & Sokolov, A. (2016). Foresight for Science, Technology and Innovation. Switzerland: Springer. Retrieved from http://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&site=eds-live&db=nlebk&AN=1242395
- Ringland, G. (2006). Scenario Planning : Managing for the Future (Vol. 2nd ed). Chichester, England: Wiley. Retrieved from http://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&site=eds-live&db=edsebk&AN=492786
- Simerson, B. K. (2011). Strategic Planning: A Practical Guide to Strategy Formulation and Execution : A Practical Guide to Strategy Formulation and Execution. Santa Barbara, Calif: Praeger. Retrieved from http://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&site=eds-live&db=edsebk&AN=362938
- Sørgaard Jørgensen, Dingli, S. M., & Borch, K. (2013). Participation and Interaction in Foresight : Dialogue, Dissemination and Visions. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar Publishing. Retrieved from http://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&site=eds-live&db=edsebk&AN=495658
Recommended Additional Bibliography
- Daim, T. U., Chiavetta, D., Porter, A. L., & Saritas, O. (2016). Anticipating Future Innovation Pathways Through Large Data Analysis. Switzerland: Springer. Retrieved from http://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&site=eds-live&db=edsebk&AN=1231713
- Meissner, D., Gokhberg, L. M., & Sokolov, A. (2013). Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future : Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies. Berlin: Springer. Retrieved from http://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&site=eds-live&db=edsebk&AN=586015
- Saritas, O., & Nugroho, Y. (2012). Mapping issues and envisaging futures: An evolutionary scenario approach. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, (3), 509. Retrieved from http://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&site=eds-live&db=edsrep&AN=edsrep.a.eee.tefoso.v79y2012i3p509.529