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Магистратура 2021/2022

Современные методы анализа данных: Стохастический анализ

Лучший по критерию «Полезность курса для Вашей будущей карьеры»
Лучший по критерию «Полезность курса для расширения кругозора и разностороннего развития»
Статус: Курс обязательный
Направление: 01.04.02. Прикладная математика и информатика
Когда читается: 1-й курс, 1, 2 модуль
Формат изучения: без онлайн-курса
Охват аудитории: для своего кампуса
Прогр. обучения: Математика машинного обучения
Язык: английский
Кредиты: 9
Контактные часы: 60

Course Syllabus

Abstract

The aim of this course is to provide an introduction to the modern methods of stochastic calculus. The course consists from two parts. The main emphasis of the first part will be on Markov chains. We discuss properties of Markov Chains, study their invariant distributions and convergence to stationary distributions. At the end of the course we discuss Markov Chain Monte-Carlo method (MCMC). The main emphasis of the second part will be in stochastic differential equations, their analytic and numerical solutions. We also briefly recall all necessary facts from the basic of random processes, Wiener process and Martingales.
Learning Objectives

Learning Objectives

  • Students will study how to apply the main modern probabilistic methods in practice and learn important topics from the stochastic calculus.
Expected Learning Outcomes

Expected Learning Outcomes

  • Acquaintance with the main aspects of the measure concentration phenomenon
  • Be able to apply Markov Chain Monte-Carlo methods in practice
  • Be able to apply MCMC methods like ULA or MALA in practice
  • Be able to calculate conditional expectations, probabilities and apply their properties (e.g. tower property or total probability property)
  • Be able to solve SDE numerically. Know main properties of SDE and their solutions
  • Know definition of Markov chains, be able to solve theoretical and practical problems
  • Know definition of martingales and its properties
  • Know definition of stochastic integral and its properties
  • Know definition of Wiener process, know properties of its trajectories.
Course Contents

Course Contents

  • Markov chains, discrete state space and discrete time
  • Markov chains, continuous time and discrete state spaces
  • Conditional probability and conditional distributions
  • Markov chains, General state spaces
  • Conections with concentration of measure
  • MCMC
  • Martingales
  • Wiener process
  • Ito’s integral
  • Stochastic differential equations
  • Unadjusted Langevin algorithm (ULA), Metropolis adjusted Langevin algorithm (MALA)
Assessment Elements

Assessment Elements

  • non-blocking письменный экзамен
  • non-blocking домашняя работа
  • non-blocking экзамен
Interim Assessment

Interim Assessment

  • 2021/2022 2nd module
    0.4 * экзамен + 0.3 * письменный экзамен + 0.3 * домашняя работа
Bibliography

Bibliography

Recommended Core Bibliography

  • Christophe Andrieu, & Nando De Freitas. (2003). An Introduction to MCMC for Machine Learning. Retrieved from http://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&site=eds-live&db=edsbas&AN=edsbas.C161414B
  • Вероятность. Кн. 1: Вероятность - 1: Элементарная теория вероятностей. Математические основания. Предельные теоремы, Ширяев, А. Н., 2004
  • Теория случайных процессов, Булинский, А. В., 2003

Recommended Additional Bibliography

  • Durmus, A., & Moulines, E. (2016). High-dimensional Bayesian inference via the Unadjusted Langevin Algorithm. Retrieved from http://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&site=eds-live&db=edsbas&AN=edsbas.A78D09BB

Authors

  • BELOMESTNYY DENIS VITALEVICH
  • NAUMOV ALEKSEY ALEKSANDROVICH